Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) Stock Forecast 2026: P10, P50 & P90 — Probabli.AI
Timestamped ARCC stock forecast with 1-year P10, P50, and P90 price estimates, scenario probabilities, definitions, sources, and limitations.
Direct answer: Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) presents a mixed outlook driven by a compelling dividend yield and portfolio growth contrasted against financing cost risks and macroeconomic dependencies. Its commendable analyst consensus reflects upside potential while sectoral and economic vulnerabilities warrant caution. Improvements in ARCC’s financial resilience and economic conditions could unlock its considerable growth potential. The saved 1-year distribution is P10 $15.75, P50 $21, and P90 $23.75.
Last analyzed · Model: gpt-4o
Ares Capital Corporation Forecast data
| Estimate | 1-year price | Meaning |
|---|
| P10 | $15.75 | Pessimistic plausible scenario |
| P50 | $21 | Median scenario |
| P90 | $23.75 | Optimistic plausible scenario |
What the numbers mean
P10, P50, and P90 are model-generated scenario estimates: roughly a pessimistic plausible outcome, a median outcome, and an optimistic plausible outcome. They are not calibrated confidence intervals.
Supporting analysis
Ares Capital Corporation has a strong dividend yield and solid analyst consensus with a median price target significantly above current levels, but exposure to economic cycles and financing costs carry notable risks.
Sources and limitations
Market and company inputs are primarily sourced through Yahoo Finance and public financial-data interfaces. This page reports a saved AI-generated scenario analysis as of the timestamp above; it is not live data, audited probability, financial advice, or a guaranteed return.
Frequently asked questions
When was this ARCC analysis generated?
April 11, 2026.
Is this a guaranteed ARCC prediction?
No. It is a model-generated scenario assessment with material uncertainty.
View the full ARCC stock analysis · ARCC sentiment · Methodology · Accuracy & validation
The information on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.