Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) Stock Forecast 2026: P10, P50 & P90 — Probabli.AI
Timestamped WYNN stock forecast with 1-year P10, P50, and P90 price estimates, scenario probabilities, definitions, sources, and limitations.
Direct answer: Wynn Resorts (WYNN) presents a compelling contrarian asymmetric risk/reward opportunity at $72.42, currently trading near its 52-week low ($71.90) and down over 46% from its 52-week high ($134.72). The market has heavily discounted near-term macro sluggishness in China, mixed regional domestic gaming receipts, and broad-based gaming sector multiple compression. Despite recent price target trims by Wall Street firms, the analyst community maintains a unanimous Strong Buy stance with a median target of $125.00 (+72.6% upside). Wynn's balance sheet is supported by robust cash flows from the Las Vegas Strip, a low 24% dividend payout ratio, and disciplined capital allocation. Looking beyond near-term volatility, the upcoming 2027 opening of the Wynn Al Marjan Island resort in the UAE serves as a transformative multi-year growth catalyst that can unlock substantial high-margin international gaming revenue. The saved 1-year distribution is P10 $56, P50 $98, and P90 $128.
Last analyzed · Model: gemini-3.8-flash
Wynn Resorts, Limited Forecast data
| Estimate | 1-year price | Meaning |
|---|
| P10 | $56 | Pessimistic plausible scenario |
| P50 | $98 | Median scenario |
| P90 | $128 | Optimistic plausible scenario |
What the numbers mean
P10, P50, and P90 are model-generated scenario estimates: roughly a pessimistic plausible outcome, a median outcome, and an optimistic plausible outcome. They are not calibrated confidence intervals.
Supporting analysis
WYNN trades near 52-week lows following aggressive multiple compression driven by China/Macau macro headwinds and soft regional gaming data. However, analyst consensus remains Strong Buy with a median price target of $125 (over 70% upside). Given a low valuation multiple, modest low-single-digit baseline expectations, and healthy free cash flow generation from Las Vegas assets, the risk/reward is heavily skewed to the upside over a 12-month horizon.
Sources and limitations
Market and company inputs are primarily sourced through Yahoo Finance and public financial-data interfaces. This page reports a saved AI-generated scenario analysis as of the timestamp above; it is not live data, audited probability, financial advice, or a guaranteed return.
Frequently asked questions
When was this WYNN analysis generated?
October 28, 2026.
Is this a guaranteed WYNN prediction?
No. It is a model-generated scenario assessment with material uncertainty.
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The information on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.