Vistra Corp. (VST) Stock Forecast 2026: P10, P50 & P90 — Probabli.AI
Timestamped VST stock forecast with 1-year P10, P50, and P90 price estimates, scenario probabilities, definitions, sources, and limitations.
Direct answer: Vistra Corp. is positioned strongly within the energy sector, boosted by a robust analyst 'Strong Buy' consensus and a significant upward revision in price targets. Despite some recent negative headlines surrounding natural gas price impacts and regulatory issues, the company's direction towards renewable energies and energy storage solutions tempers these drawbacks. The long-term compounded growth potential, alongside strategic market repositioning towards green technologies, supports above-market average returns in upcoming years. The saved 1-year distribution is P10 $110, P50 $175, and P90 $240.
Last analyzed · Model: gpt-4o
Vistra Corp. Forecast data
| Estimate | 1-year price | Meaning |
|---|
| P10 | $110 | Pessimistic plausible scenario |
| P50 | $175 | Median scenario |
| P90 | $240 | Optimistic plausible scenario |
What the numbers mean
P10, P50, and P90 are model-generated scenario estimates: roughly a pessimistic plausible outcome, a median outcome, and an optimistic plausible outcome. They are not calibrated confidence intervals.
Supporting analysis
Analyst consensus is strong with a mean target suggesting substantial upside. Despite recent negative news about natural gas prices and regulatory scrutiny, the overall growth trajectory, especially the renewable energy expansion, remains compelling. The implied 59.9% upside from analysts is significant, and the company's growth strategy and positive recent earnings provide confidence.
Sources and limitations
Market and company inputs are primarily sourced through Yahoo Finance and public financial-data interfaces. This page reports a saved AI-generated scenario analysis as of the timestamp above; it is not live data, audited probability, financial advice, or a guaranteed return.
Frequently asked questions
When was this VST analysis generated?
August 27, 2026.
Is this a guaranteed VST prediction?
No. It is a model-generated scenario assessment with material uncertainty.
View the full VST stock analysis · VST sentiment · Methodology · Accuracy & validation
The information on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.