Varonis Systems, Inc. (VRNS) Stock Forecast 2026: P10, P50 & P90 — Probabli.AI
Timestamped VRNS stock forecast with 1-year P10, P50, and P90 price estimates, scenario probabilities, definitions, sources, and limitations.
Direct answer: Varonis Systems, Inc. is poised for substantial growth, driven by its impressive revenue growth forecast, consistent earnings beat streak, and strong product innovation in the cybersecurity sector. The stock commands a bullish outlook with high confidence, bolstered by a 'BUY' rating from analysts and significant upside potential based on current price targets. Key risks include valuation concerns, competition, and technological evolution within the industry. Varonis's success will depend on its ability to leverage new product offerings and maintain executional excellence, aligning it for above-market returns in both the short and long term. The saved 1-year distribution is P10 $35, P50 $51, and P90 $65.
Last analyzed · Model: gpt-4o
Varonis Systems, Inc. Forecast data
| Estimate | 1-year price | Meaning |
|---|
| P10 | $35 | Pessimistic plausible scenario |
| P50 | $51 | Median scenario |
| P90 | $65 | Optimistic plausible scenario |
What the numbers mean
P10, P50, and P90 are model-generated scenario estimates: roughly a pessimistic plausible outcome, a median outcome, and an optimistic plausible outcome. They are not calibrated confidence intervals.
Supporting analysis
Varonis Systems has consistently beaten earnings expectations for eight consecutive quarters, demonstrating strong execution. The remarkably high projected revenue growth of 2280% indicates a major scaling of operations, likely driven by new products or expanded market presence. Coupled with analyst conviction towards a 'BUY' rating and a significant implied upside in price targets, these fundamentals point to a generally bullish outlook over the next year. Recent negative headlines regarding valuation concerns and competition introduce some downside risk, but the company's strong product development and expansion in data security solutions bolster its growth potential.
Sources and limitations
Market and company inputs are primarily sourced through Yahoo Finance and public financial-data interfaces. This page reports a saved AI-generated scenario analysis as of the timestamp above; it is not live data, audited probability, financial advice, or a guaranteed return.
Frequently asked questions
When was this VRNS analysis generated?
August 23, 2026.
Is this a guaranteed VRNS prediction?
No. It is a model-generated scenario assessment with material uncertainty.
View the full VRNS stock analysis · VRNS sentiment · Methodology · Accuracy & validation
The information on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.