VIX (VIX) Stock Forecast 2026: P10, P50 & P90 — Probabli.AI
Timestamped VIX stock forecast with 1-year P10, P50, and P90 price estimates, scenario probabilities, definitions, sources, and limitations.
Direct answer: The VIX, while showing extraordinarily high revenue growth projections (500%), reflects significant ties to external market performance. Despite mixed recent chart performance, fundamental analysis suggests that execution on revenue targets combined with shifts in investor sentiment could produce solid outcomes. Analyst metrics signal a guarded outlook, and volatility trends will profoundly influence outcomes. Both upside and downside risks are heavily tied to macroeconomic and market uncertainty. The saved 1-year distribution is P10 $16.25, P50 $18.5, and P90 $22.
Last analyzed · Model: gpt-4o
VIX Forecast data
| Estimate | 1-year price | Meaning |
|---|
| P10 | $16.25 | Pessimistic plausible scenario |
| P50 | $18.5 | Median scenario |
| P90 | $22 | Optimistic plausible scenario |
What the numbers mean
P10, P50, and P90 are model-generated scenario estimates: roughly a pessimistic plausible outcome, a median outcome, and an optimistic plausible outcome. They are not calibrated confidence intervals.
Supporting analysis
The VIX's fundamentals indicate a mixed outlook. With the analyst consensus being 'HOLD' and modest next EPS estimates, the market sentiment will likely play a significant role in guiding price. Unless there is a clear path to high earnings growth, the bullish case may be limited.
Sources and limitations
Market and company inputs are primarily sourced through Yahoo Finance and public financial-data interfaces. This page reports a saved AI-generated scenario analysis as of the timestamp above; it is not live data, audited probability, financial advice, or a guaranteed return.
Frequently asked questions
When was this VIX analysis generated?
March 29, 2026.
Is this a guaranteed VIX prediction?
No. It is a model-generated scenario assessment with material uncertainty.
View the full VIX stock analysis · VIX sentiment · Methodology · Accuracy & validation
The information on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.