Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) Stock Forecast 2026: P10, P50 & P90 — Probabli.AI
Timestamped VIST stock forecast with 1-year P10, P50, and P90 price estimates, scenario probabilities, definitions, sources, and limitations.
Direct answer: Vista Energy (VIST) stands as one of the fastest-growing independent exploration and production (E&P) operators globally, underpinned by its premier, low-cost asset base in Argentina's Vaca Muerta formation. The company is compounding production at superior rates with revenue growth projected above 70%, supported by institutional backing and a unanimous Strong Buy consensus among 12 covering analysts. While Argentine sovereign risk and historical earnings surprise volatility warrant consideration, ongoing midstream pipeline expansions, pro-market regulatory tailwinds (such as RIGI), and world-class well economics position Vista to significantly outperform broader energy peers over both medium and long investment horizons. The saved 1-year distribution is P10 $56.5, P50 $93, and P90 $118.
Last analyzed · Model: gemini-3.8-flash
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. Forecast data
| Estimate | 1-year price | Meaning |
|---|
| P10 | $56.5 | Pessimistic plausible scenario |
| P50 | $93 | Median scenario |
| P90 | $118 | Optimistic plausible scenario |
What the numbers mean
P10, P50, and P90 are model-generated scenario estimates: roughly a pessimistic plausible outcome, a median outcome, and an optimistic plausible outcome. They are not calibrated confidence intervals.
Supporting analysis
Vista Energy is experiencing hyper-growth propelled by aggressive drilling campaigns and rising production in Argentina's world-class Vaca Muerta basin. With analyst consensus firmly at Strong Buy, guided revenue growth exceeding 70%, and high-margin lifting costs, near-term volume expansion is heavily supported despite broader commodity volatility.
Sources and limitations
Market and company inputs are primarily sourced through Yahoo Finance and public financial-data interfaces. This page reports a saved AI-generated scenario analysis as of the timestamp above; it is not live data, audited probability, financial advice, or a guaranteed return.
Frequently asked questions
When was this VIST analysis generated?
October 29, 2026.
Is this a guaranteed VIST prediction?
No. It is a model-generated scenario assessment with material uncertainty.
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The information on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.