VICI Properties Inc. (VICI) Stock Forecast 2026: P10, P50 & P90 — Probabli.AI
Timestamped VICI stock forecast with 1-year P10, P50, and P90 price estimates, scenario probabilities, definitions, sources, and limitations.
Direct answer: VICI Properties presents an asymmetric risk-reward setup at current trading levels ($23.52), anchored near the low end of its 52-week range while delivering a durable 7.82% dividend yield. Analyst consensus sits at $30.00 (+27.8% upside), underpinned by recent upward revisions in full-year AFFO guidance. The company’s portfolio of mission-critical casino and experiential assets possesses structural advantages, including 100% rent collection, CPI-linked escalator clauses, and master lease covenants that protect landlords even in cyclical distress. While interest rate headwinds and operator concentration remain watchpoints, VICI’s investment-grade balance sheet, deliberate expansion into non-gaming lifestyle assets, and substantial dividend yield support an attractive total return trajectory over 1-, 5-, and 10-year horizons. The saved 1-year distribution is P10 $19.8, P50 $28.5, and P90 $33.2.
Last analyzed · Model: gemini-3.8-flash
VICI Properties Inc. Forecast data
| Estimate | 1-year price | Meaning |
|---|
| P10 | $19.8 | Pessimistic plausible scenario |
| P50 | $28.5 | Median scenario |
| P90 | $33.2 | Optimistic plausible scenario |
What the numbers mean
P10, P50, and P90 are model-generated scenario estimates: roughly a pessimistic plausible outcome, a median outcome, and an optimistic plausible outcome. They are not calibrated confidence intervals.
Supporting analysis
VICI trades at an attractive valuation with a 7.82% dividend yield and nearly 28% analyst consensus upside. Recent AFFO guidance increases, 100% rent collection track record, and long-term inflation-protected triple-net leases provide strong downside support against macroeconomic fluctuations, while potential interest rate easing acts as a valuation catalyst.
Sources and limitations
Market and company inputs are primarily sourced through Yahoo Finance and public financial-data interfaces. This page reports a saved AI-generated scenario analysis as of the timestamp above; it is not live data, audited probability, financial advice, or a guaranteed return.
Frequently asked questions
When was this VICI analysis generated?
October 29, 2026.
Is this a guaranteed VICI prediction?
No. It is a model-generated scenario assessment with material uncertainty.
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The information on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.