Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) Stock Forecast 2026: P10, P50 & P90 — Probabli.AI
Timestamped UPST stock forecast with 1-year P10, P50, and P90 price estimates, scenario probabilities, definitions, sources, and limitations.
Direct answer: Upstart Holdings is well-positioned for substantial growth, driven by innovative AI technologies and strategic partnerships. Despite potential headwinds from interest rates and regulatory scrutiny, the company's strong fundamentals, rapid revenue growth, and positive analyst sentiment make it a compelling investment in the fintech sector. With the ongoing expansion and product diversification, the outlook for Upstart remains promising across all considered time horizons. The saved 1-year distribution is P10 $19, P50 $36, and P90 $50.
Last analyzed · Model: gpt-4o
Upstart Holdings, Inc. Forecast data
| Estimate | 1-year price | Meaning |
|---|
| P10 | $19 | Pessimistic plausible scenario |
| P50 | $36 | Median scenario |
| P90 | $50 | Optimistic plausible scenario |
What the numbers mean
P10, P50, and P90 are model-generated scenario estimates: roughly a pessimistic plausible outcome, a median outcome, and an optimistic plausible outcome. They are not calibrated confidence intervals.
Supporting analysis
Upstart Holdings exhibits robust growth potential, evidenced by its impressive revenue growth and strong analyst support. The company's partnerships and product launches can drive substantial upside, though interest rate hikes and regulatory pressures pose risks.
Sources and limitations
Market and company inputs are primarily sourced through Yahoo Finance and public financial-data interfaces. This page reports a saved AI-generated scenario analysis as of the timestamp above; it is not live data, audited probability, financial advice, or a guaranteed return.
Frequently asked questions
When was this UPST analysis generated?
October 11, 2026.
Is this a guaranteed UPST prediction?
No. It is a model-generated scenario assessment with material uncertainty.
View the full UPST stock analysis · UPST sentiment · Methodology · Accuracy & validation
The information on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.