Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) Stock Forecast 2026: P10, P50 & P90 — Probabli.AI
Timestamped UPST stock forecast with 1-year P10, P50, and P90 price estimates, scenario probabilities, definitions, sources, and limitations.
Direct answer: Upstart Holdings showcases strong growth potential with an impressive revenue increase forecast and sustained ability to beat earnings expectations. Their AI-centered approach positions them strongly in a competitive market, with analyst consensus leaning bullish. Despite some regulatory and economic risks, the medium to long-term outlook for the stock remains optimistic, reflecting potential returns well above market average. The saved 1-year distribution is P10 $25, P50 $45, and P90 $60.
Last analyzed · Model: gpt-4o
Upstart Holdings, Inc. Forecast data
| Estimate | 1-year price | Meaning |
|---|
| P10 | $25 | Pessimistic plausible scenario |
| P50 | $45 | Median scenario |
| P90 | $60 | Optimistic plausible scenario |
What the numbers mean
P10, P50, and P90 are model-generated scenario estimates: roughly a pessimistic plausible outcome, a median outcome, and an optimistic plausible outcome. They are not calibrated confidence intervals.
Supporting analysis
Upstart shows strong growth potential due to its impressive revenue increase estimates and consistent earnings outperformance. Positive analyst consensus and new product launches support a bullish outlook, but regulatory scrutiny presents a tangible headwind.
Sources and limitations
Market and company inputs are primarily sourced through Yahoo Finance and public financial-data interfaces. This page reports a saved AI-generated scenario analysis as of the timestamp above; it is not live data, audited probability, financial advice, or a guaranteed return.
Frequently asked questions
When was this UPST analysis generated?
April 27, 2026.
Is this a guaranteed UPST prediction?
No. It is a model-generated scenario assessment with material uncertainty.
View the full UPST stock analysis · UPST sentiment · Methodology · Accuracy & validation
The information on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.