TPG Inc. (TPG) Stock Forecast 2026: P10, P50 & P90 — Probabli.AI
Timestamped TPG stock forecast with 1-year P10, P50, and P90 price estimates, scenario probabilities, definitions, sources, and limitations.
Direct answer: TPG Inc. is positioned attractively at the intersection of private equity recovery and secular private credit expansion. Following the integration of Angelo Gordon, TPG has evolved into a fully scaled, multi-strategy alternative asset platform. With a strong earnings track record, double-digit forward revenue growth projections (18.7%), and active dealmaking in high-demand verticals such as data center infrastructure, the company exhibits favorable risk-adjusted compounding characteristics. While quarterly carried interest remains sensitive to exit liquidity, strong Fee-Related Earnings and an attractive ~4.35% dividend yield provide a robust margin of safety. The saved 1-year distribution is P10 $37, P50 $57.5, and P90 $72.
Last analyzed · Model: gemini-3.8-flash
TPG Inc. Forecast data
| Estimate | 1-year price | Meaning |
|---|
| P10 | $37 | Pessimistic plausible scenario |
| P50 | $57.5 | Median scenario |
| P90 | $72 | Optimistic plausible scenario |
What the numbers mean
P10, P50, and P90 are model-generated scenario estimates: roughly a pessimistic plausible outcome, a median outcome, and an optimistic plausible outcome. They are not calibrated confidence intervals.
Supporting analysis
TPG displays strong fundamentals with an active 4-quarter earnings beat streak (+11.6% average EPS surprise), consensus BUY recommendation across 17 analysts, and an implied upside of ~22-26% toward the $58-$60 target. Positive momentum in dealmaking—including large-scale digital infrastructure and take-private discussions—positions Fee-Related Earnings (FRE) and carried interest for robust expansion over the next 12 months.
Sources and limitations
Market and company inputs are primarily sourced through Yahoo Finance and public financial-data interfaces. This page reports a saved AI-generated scenario analysis as of the timestamp above; it is not live data, audited probability, financial advice, or a guaranteed return.
Frequently asked questions
When was this TPG analysis generated?
October 29, 2026.
Is this a guaranteed TPG prediction?
No. It is a model-generated scenario assessment with material uncertainty.
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The information on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.