Starwood Property Trust, Inc. (STWD) Stock Forecast 2026: P10, P50 & P90 — Probabli.AI
Timestamped STWD stock forecast with 1-year P10, P50, and P90 price estimates, scenario probabilities, definitions, sources, and limitations.
Direct answer: Starwood Property Trust (STWD) demonstrates strong fundamentals supported by a high dividend yield, significant revenue growth potential, and positive market sentiment. While risks from regulatory scrutiny and broader market competition are prevalent, its forecasted growth trajectory and strategic initiatives position it favorably in the commercial real estate sector. The saved 1-year distribution is P10 $16.5, P50 $20, and P90 $22.
Last analyzed · Model: gpt-4o
Starwood Property Trust, Inc. Forecast data
| Estimate | 1-year price | Meaning |
|---|
| P10 | $16.5 | Pessimistic plausible scenario |
| P50 | $20 | Median scenario |
| P90 | $22 | Optimistic plausible scenario |
What the numbers mean
P10, P50, and P90 are model-generated scenario estimates: roughly a pessimistic plausible outcome, a median outcome, and an optimistic plausible outcome. They are not calibrated confidence intervals.
Supporting analysis
Starwood Property Trust exhibits robust performance indicators, including a high dividend yield, strong revenue growth forecast, and positive analyst sentiment. However, risks stem from regulatory scrutiny and competition in the sector.
Sources and limitations
Market and company inputs are primarily sourced through Yahoo Finance and public financial-data interfaces. This page reports a saved AI-generated scenario analysis as of the timestamp above; it is not live data, audited probability, financial advice, or a guaranteed return.
Frequently asked questions
When was this STWD analysis generated?
March 8, 2026.
Is this a guaranteed STWD prediction?
No. It is a model-generated scenario assessment with material uncertainty.
View the full STWD stock analysis · STWD sentiment · Methodology · Accuracy & validation
The information on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.