Sea Limited (SE) Stock Forecast 2026: P10, P50 & P90 — Probabli.AI
Timestamped SE stock forecast with 1-year P10, P50, and P90 price estimates, scenario probabilities, definitions, sources, and limitations.
Direct answer: Sea Limited presents an asymmetric risk-reward profile following a severe 20% drop to $74.63, matching its 52-week low. The selloff is detached from underlying top-line strength, where consensus models estimate forward revenue growth at a blistering 54.6% to $8.1B. With 29 Wall Street analysts consensus-rated as Strong Buy and targeting an average price of $152.86 (+104.8% upside), the medium-to-long-term trend is heavily tilted toward recovery. Catalysts such as the potential monetization of Monee, AI cloud initiatives, and cooling e-commerce subsidy wars provide clear drivers for multiple expansion, supporting a 1-year P50 target of $115 and a 5-year P50 target of $240. The saved 1-year distribution is P10 $58, P50 $115, and P90 $155.
Last analyzed · Model: gemini-3.8-flash
Sea Limited Forecast data
| Estimate | 1-year price | Meaning |
|---|
| P10 | $58 | Pessimistic plausible scenario |
| P50 | $115 | Median scenario |
| P90 | $155 | Optimistic plausible scenario |
What the numbers mean
P10, P50, and P90 are model-generated scenario estimates: roughly a pessimistic plausible outcome, a median outcome, and an optimistic plausible outcome. They are not calibrated confidence intervals.
Supporting analysis
Sea Limited sits at an acute inflection point following a sharp 20% single-day correction to near 52-week lows ($74.63). Despite the pullback, fundamentals remain robust with projected revenue growth exceeding 54% and unanimous analyst consensus at Strong Buy with an average price target over $152. E-commerce take-rate increases, digital financial service profitability (Monee), and operational leverage provide substantial re-rating potential over the next 12 months.
Sources and limitations
Market and company inputs are primarily sourced through Yahoo Finance and public financial-data interfaces. This page reports a saved AI-generated scenario analysis as of the timestamp above; it is not live data, audited probability, financial advice, or a guaranteed return.
Frequently asked questions
When was this SE analysis generated?
October 25, 2026.
Is this a guaranteed SE prediction?
No. It is a model-generated scenario assessment with material uncertainty.
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The information on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.