Redwire Corporation (RDW) Stock Forecast 2026: P10, P50 & P90 — Probabli.AI
Timestamped RDW stock forecast with 1-year P10, P50, and P90 price estimates, scenario probabilities, definitions, sources, and limitations.
Direct answer: Redwire Corporation is positioned for strong growth, underpinned by recent strategic contracts with NASA and innovative expansions in satellite technology. Analyst consensus forecasts considerable upside, although headwinds from competition and financial execution risks offer caution. Despite a significant recent price depreciation, the company's robust revenue growth expectations and strategic partnerships suggest a positive long-term trajectory, especially if management addresses current profitability challenges. The saved 1-year distribution is P10 $9, P50 $15.2, and P90 $20.5.
Last analyzed · Model: gpt-4o
Redwire Corporation Forecast data
| Estimate | 1-year price | Meaning |
|---|
| P10 | $9 | Pessimistic plausible scenario |
| P50 | $15.2 | Median scenario |
| P90 | $20.5 | Optimistic plausible scenario |
What the numbers mean
P10, P50, and P90 are model-generated scenario estimates: roughly a pessimistic plausible outcome, a median outcome, and an optimistic plausible outcome. They are not calibrated confidence intervals.
Supporting analysis
Redwire Corporation has shown strong recent momentum with a significant contract win from NASA and expanded capabilities. The 1-year analyst consensus implies significant upside (+27.4%). However, concerns on competition and profit margins introduce risk, balancing the bullish outlook.
Sources and limitations
Market and company inputs are primarily sourced through Yahoo Finance and public financial-data interfaces. This page reports a saved AI-generated scenario analysis as of the timestamp above; it is not live data, audited probability, financial advice, or a guaranteed return.
Frequently asked questions
When was this RDW analysis generated?
August 22, 2026.
Is this a guaranteed RDW prediction?
No. It is a model-generated scenario assessment with material uncertainty.
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The information on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.