Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) Stock Forecast 2026: P10, P50 & P90 — Probabli.AI
Timestamped PGY stock forecast with 1-year P10, P50, and P90 price estimates, scenario probabilities, definitions, sources, and limitations.
Direct answer: Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) represents a high-growth fintech player leveraging advanced AI-driven technologies. Its remarkable revenue growth rate of 1680% and consistent earnings performance position it for significant upside. While there are risks related to competitive pressures and macroeconomic conditions, the overall sentiment remains bullish, driven by innovation and strategic market expansion. The saved 1-year distribution is P10 $12, P50 $34, and P90 $50.
Last analyzed · Model: gpt-4o
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. Forecast data
| Estimate | 1-year price | Meaning |
|---|
| P10 | $12 | Pessimistic plausible scenario |
| P50 | $34 | Median scenario |
| P90 | $50 | Optimistic plausible scenario |
What the numbers mean
P10, P50, and P90 are model-generated scenario estimates: roughly a pessimistic plausible outcome, a median outcome, and an optimistic plausible outcome. They are not calibrated confidence intervals.
Supporting analysis
Pagaya's strong revenue growth estimate and its positive analyst sentiment, paired with a significant earnings beat streak, suggest a bullish outlook over the next year.
Sources and limitations
Market and company inputs are primarily sourced through Yahoo Finance and public financial-data interfaces. This page reports a saved AI-generated scenario analysis as of the timestamp above; it is not live data, audited probability, financial advice, or a guaranteed return.
Frequently asked questions
When was this PGY analysis generated?
April 15, 2026.
Is this a guaranteed PGY prediction?
No. It is a model-generated scenario assessment with material uncertainty.
View the full PGY stock analysis · PGY sentiment · Methodology · Accuracy & validation
The information on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.