Oscar Health, Inc. (OSCR) Stock Forecast 2026: P10, P50 & P90 — Probabli.AI
Timestamped OSCR stock forecast with 1-year P10, P50, and P90 price estimates, scenario probabilities, definitions, sources, and limitations.
Direct answer: Oscar Health, Inc. (OSCR) is a high-growth healthcare company capitalizing on telehealth innovations and strategic partnerships. Despite its substantial revenue growth rate, the company faces significant regulatory challenges and customer retention issues, impacting short-term outlooks. With a HOLD analyst consensus and lower mean target than current price, cautious near-term views prevail. Long term, potential transformations in healthcare delivery and strategic state expansions could unlock significant upside, particularly if Oscar successfully addresses existing operational challenges. Investors remain divided, reflecting a broad sentiment of neutral with measured optimism for the future. The saved 1-year distribution is P10 $22, P50 $28, and P90 $37.
Last analyzed · Model: gpt-4o
Oscar Health, Inc. Forecast data
| Estimate | 1-year price | Meaning |
| P10 | $22 | Pessimistic plausible scenario |
| P50 | $28 | Median scenario |
| P90 | $37 | Optimistic plausible scenario |
What the numbers mean
P10, P50, and P90 are model-generated scenario estimates: roughly a pessimistic plausible outcome, a median outcome, and an optimistic plausible outcome. They are not calibrated confidence intervals.
Supporting analysis
Despite impressive recent revenue growth driven by unconventional strategies, Oscar Health faces significant regulatory scrutiny and customer retention challenges. While the company's innovative moves into telehealth and network expansion are promising, analyst sentiment remains cautious with a HOLD consensus and a mean target below the current price, indicating concerns about near-term profitability and strategic execution.
Sources and limitations
Market and company inputs are primarily sourced through Yahoo Finance and public financial-data interfaces. This page reports a saved AI-generated scenario analysis as of the timestamp above; it is not live data, audited probability, financial advice, or a guaranteed return.
Frequently asked questions
When was this OSCR analysis generated?
August 23, 2026.
Is this a guaranteed OSCR prediction?
No. It is a model-generated scenario assessment with material uncertainty.
View the full OSCR stock analysis · OSCR sentiment · Methodology · Accuracy & validation
The information on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.