Ondas Inc. (ONDS) Stock Forecast 2026: P10, P50 & P90 — Probabli.AI
Timestamped ONDS stock forecast with 1-year P10, P50, and P90 price estimates, scenario probabilities, definitions, sources, and limitations.
Direct answer: Ondas Inc. (ONDS) is currently at a critical inflection point, trading at $6.16 against a 10-analyst consensus target of $19.00 (+208% upside). The company's strategic pivot into defense autonomy, highlighted by its Regna AI alliance with Palantir and recent EASA aerospace certification, aligns it directly with the fastest-growing subsectors of global defense spending. While near-term profitability remains negative (-$0.10 EPS), massive revenue growth guidance and positive EPS surprise momentum suggest operational acceleration that could justify a substantial re-rating toward the base-case $12.50 1-year target. The saved 1-year distribution is P10 $4.5, P50 $12.5, and P90 $21.
Last analyzed · Model: gemini-3.8-flash
Ondas Inc. Forecast data
| Estimate | 1-year price | Meaning |
|---|
| P10 | $4.5 | Pessimistic plausible scenario |
| P50 | $12.5 | Median scenario |
| P90 | $21 | Optimistic plausible scenario |
What the numbers mean
P10, P50, and P90 are model-generated scenario estimates: roughly a pessimistic plausible outcome, a median outcome, and an optimistic plausible outcome. They are not calibrated confidence intervals.
Supporting analysis
Analyst consensus is a unanimous Strong Buy with a median price target of $19.00 (+208% upside), underpinned by explosive top-line growth projections (>2,200%) and marquee partnerships like Palantir for Regna AI. However, ongoing negative EPS and retail volatility add short-term execution risks.
Sources and limitations
Market and company inputs are primarily sourced through Yahoo Finance and public financial-data interfaces. This page reports a saved AI-generated scenario analysis as of the timestamp above; it is not live data, audited probability, financial advice, or a guaranteed return.
Frequently asked questions
When was this ONDS analysis generated?
October 27, 2026.
Is this a guaranteed ONDS prediction?
No. It is a model-generated scenario assessment with material uncertainty.
View the full ONDS stock analysis · ONDS sentiment · Methodology · Accuracy & validation
The information on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.