ON Semiconductor Corporation (ON) Stock Forecast 2026: P10, P50 & P90 — Probabli.AI
Timestamped ON stock forecast with 1-year P10, P50, and P90 price estimates, scenario probabilities, definitions, sources, and limitations.
Direct answer: ON Semiconductor Corporation demonstrates solid growth potential supported by its strong financial performance and strategic industry positioning. While the semiconductor sector faces inherent volatility and competitive threats, ON's proactive expansion strategies, especially within electric vehicles and AI, coupled with significant revenue growth forecasts, underpin a predominantly bullish outlook. Short-term market conditions driven by legal challenges and analyst sentiment might present headwinds but do not compromise the favorable long-term growth narrative. The company's focus on sustainability aligns well with global trends, potentially enhancing appeal to a broader investor base. Risks associated with legal challenges and market sentiment variability are notable, yet manageable, given the company's strengths and identified opportunities. The saved 1-year distribution is P10 $95, P50 $125, and P90 $145.
Last analyzed · Model: gpt-4o
ON Semiconductor Corporation Forecast data
| Estimate | 1-year price | Meaning |
|---|
| P10 | $95 | Pessimistic plausible scenario |
| P50 | $125 | Median scenario |
| P90 | $145 | Optimistic plausible scenario |
What the numbers mean
P10, P50, and P90 are model-generated scenario estimates: roughly a pessimistic plausible outcome, a median outcome, and an optimistic plausible outcome. They are not calibrated confidence intervals.
Supporting analysis
ON Semiconductor's fundamentals and growth prospects appear robust, particularly given the positive earnings beat streak and high average EPS surprise. However, recent market sentiment and headlines inject some uncertainty, with patent disputes and stock downgrades posing risks. Nevertheless, the strong revenue growth estimate, operational expansion, and an opportunity-rich environment in EV and AI markets support a bullish outlook.
Sources and limitations
Market and company inputs are primarily sourced through Yahoo Finance and public financial-data interfaces. This page reports a saved AI-generated scenario analysis as of the timestamp above; it is not live data, audited probability, financial advice, or a guaranteed return.
Frequently asked questions
When was this ON analysis generated?
June 26, 2026.
Is this a guaranteed ON prediction?
No. It is a model-generated scenario assessment with material uncertainty.
View the full ON stock analysis · ON sentiment · Methodology · Accuracy & validation
The information on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.