Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG) Stock Forecast 2026: P10, P50 & P90 — Probabli.AI
Timestamped NOG stock forecast with 1-year P10, P50, and P90 price estimates, scenario probabilities, definitions, sources, and limitations.
Direct answer: Based on its demonstrated execution capability, strategic acquisitions, and robust dividends, Northern Oil and Gas shows strong pricing potential, especially if economic conditions stabilize. While risks exist from macroeconomic factors and legislative actions, improvements in its industry position, coupled with innovative energy endeavors, suggest an optimistic outlook. The saved 1-year distribution is P10 $25.7, P50 $33.5, and P90 $42.3.
Last analyzed · Model: gpt-4o
Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. Forecast data
| Estimate | 1-year price | Meaning |
| P10 | $25.7 | Pessimistic plausible scenario |
| P50 | $33.5 | Median scenario |
| P90 | $42.3 | Optimistic plausible scenario |
What the numbers mean
P10, P50, and P90 are model-generated scenario estimates: roughly a pessimistic plausible outcome, a median outcome, and an optimistic plausible outcome. They are not calibrated confidence intervals.
Supporting analysis
The company has demonstrated strong earnings outperformance, consistent analyst upgrades, and a solid dividend policy. However, macroeconomic pressures on oil prices pose some risk.
Sources and limitations
Market and company inputs are primarily sourced through Yahoo Finance and public financial-data interfaces. This page reports a saved AI-generated scenario analysis as of the timestamp above; it is not live data, audited probability, financial advice, or a guaranteed return.
Frequently asked questions
When was this NOG analysis generated?
March 28, 2026.
Is this a guaranteed NOG prediction?
No. It is a model-generated scenario assessment with material uncertainty.
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The information on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.