MDA Space Ltd. (MDA) Stock Forecast 2026: P10, P50 & P90 — Probabli.AI
Timestamped MDA stock forecast with 1-year P10, P50, and P90 price estimates, scenario probabilities, definitions, sources, and limitations.
Direct answer: MDA Space Ltd. is positioned strongly within the space technology sector, bolstered by major contracts, successful earnings, and expanding partnerships, which drive a bullish short-term to long-term outlook. Though supply chain challenges present a risk, the anticipated growth in demand for satellite services and successful execution of new projects underpin strong potential for significant appreciation above market averages in the medium to long term. The saved 1-year distribution is P10 $25, P50 $43.5, and P90 $52.
Last analyzed · Model: gpt-4o
MDA Space Ltd. Forecast data
| Estimate | 1-year price | Meaning |
|---|
| P10 | $25 | Pessimistic plausible scenario |
| P50 | $43.5 | Median scenario |
| P90 | $52 | Optimistic plausible scenario |
What the numbers mean
P10, P50, and P90 are model-generated scenario estimates: roughly a pessimistic plausible outcome, a median outcome, and an optimistic plausible outcome. They are not calibrated confidence intervals.
Supporting analysis
MDA Space Ltd. has strong momentum with recent positive news such as a $250 million NASA contract and strong Q3 earnings. Analyst consensus is a STRONG BUY with +63% implied upside, suggesting significant market confidence. However, supply chain challenges may impact operations in the shorter term.
Sources and limitations
Market and company inputs are primarily sourced through Yahoo Finance and public financial-data interfaces. This page reports a saved AI-generated scenario analysis as of the timestamp above; it is not live data, audited probability, financial advice, or a guaranteed return.
Frequently asked questions
When was this MDA analysis generated?
October 7, 2026.
Is this a guaranteed MDA prediction?
No. It is a model-generated scenario assessment with material uncertainty.
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The information on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.