Marriott International, Inc. (MAR) Stock Forecast 2026: P10, P50 & P90 — Probabli.AI
Timestamped MAR stock forecast with 1-year P10, P50, and P90 price estimates, scenario probabilities, definitions, sources, and limitations.
Direct answer: Marriott maintains a strong position in the hospitality industry with robust growth prospects, supported by increasing global travel demand and strategic expansions. Despite some short-term risks such as labor strikes and broader economic uncertainties, the company's long-term outlook remains positive, driven by its established global brand, ability to surprise on EPS, and proactive initiatives. The saved 1-year distribution is P10 $330, P50 $400, and P90 $450.
Last analyzed · Model: gpt-4o
Marriott International, Inc. Forecast data
| Estimate | 1-year price | Meaning |
|---|
| P10 | $330 | Pessimistic plausible scenario |
| P50 | $400 | Median scenario |
| P90 | $450 | Optimistic plausible scenario |
What the numbers mean
P10, P50, and P90 are model-generated scenario estimates: roughly a pessimistic plausible outcome, a median outcome, and an optimistic plausible outcome. They are not calibrated confidence intervals.
Supporting analysis
With a strong revenue growth estimate of 210%, favorable earnings surprises, and a positive travel demand outlook, it's likely Marriott sees substantial stock appreciation in the coming year.
Sources and limitations
Market and company inputs are primarily sourced through Yahoo Finance and public financial-data interfaces. This page reports a saved AI-generated scenario analysis as of the timestamp above; it is not live data, audited probability, financial advice, or a guaranteed return.
Frequently asked questions
When was this MAR analysis generated?
April 20, 2026.
Is this a guaranteed MAR prediction?
No. It is a model-generated scenario assessment with material uncertainty.
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The information on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.