Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) Stock Forecast 2026: P10, P50 & P90 — Probabli.AI
Timestamped LUNR stock forecast with 1-year P10, P50, and P90 price estimates, scenario probabilities, definitions, sources, and limitations.
Direct answer: Intuitive Machines, Inc. presents a compelling growth opportunity in the high-potential space exploration market. With positive momentum driven by lucrative partnerships, significant contract wins, and a bullish analyst outlook suggesting substantial upside, the company is well-positioned for growth. However, it faces challenges with execution reliability and financial stability, as evidenced by significant EPS misses and project delays. The stock's volatility is high, reflective of these mixed signals. Nevertheless, the company’s innovative stance and strong market positioning provide a bullish outlook with potential for outperformance against broader indices in mid to long-term horizons. The saved 1-year distribution is P10 $14, P50 $30.5, and P90 $45.
Last analyzed · Model: gpt-4o
Intuitive Machines, Inc. Forecast data
| Estimate | 1-year price | Meaning |
|---|
| P10 | $14 | Pessimistic plausible scenario |
| P50 | $30.5 | Median scenario |
| P90 | $45 | Optimistic plausible scenario |
What the numbers mean
P10, P50, and P90 are model-generated scenario estimates: roughly a pessimistic plausible outcome, a median outcome, and an optimistic plausible outcome. They are not calibrated confidence intervals.
Supporting analysis
Intuitive Machines is poised for significant growth over the next year, anchored by their partnership with NASA and a new $200 million contract. Despite recent delays, the analyst consensus remains positive with a considerable upside implied by target prices. However, this optimism is tempered by execution risks and the company's history of significant EPS misses.
Sources and limitations
Market and company inputs are primarily sourced through Yahoo Finance and public financial-data interfaces. This page reports a saved AI-generated scenario analysis as of the timestamp above; it is not live data, audited probability, financial advice, or a guaranteed return.
Frequently asked questions
When was this LUNR analysis generated?
August 13, 2026.
Is this a guaranteed LUNR prediction?
No. It is a model-generated scenario assessment with material uncertainty.
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The information on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.