Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) Stock Forecast 2026: P10, P50 & P90 — Probabli.AI
Timestamped KTOS stock forecast with 1-year P10, P50, and P90 price estimates, scenario probabilities, definitions, sources, and limitations.
Direct answer: Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. presents a compelling bullish outlook given its strong financial performance and strategic positioning within the defense sector. With a robust revenue growth estimate of 3390.0%, an unbeatable earnings streak, and large-scale contracts like the $150 million Pentagon deal, the company is poised for significant appreciation. Despite challenges such as supply chain hurdles and regulatory scrutiny, the strong analyst consensus and high implied upside highlight confidence in Kratos' strategic path and market potential. The saved 1-year distribution is P10 $32.34, P50 $61, and P90 $85.
Last analyzed · Model: gpt-4o
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. Forecast data
| Estimate | 1-year price | Meaning |
| P10 | $32.34 | Pessimistic plausible scenario |
| P50 | $61 | Median scenario |
| P90 | $85 | Optimistic plausible scenario |
What the numbers mean
P10, P50, and P90 are model-generated scenario estimates: roughly a pessimistic plausible outcome, a median outcome, and an optimistic plausible outcome. They are not calibrated confidence intervals.
Supporting analysis
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. has shown substantial revenue growth projections and an impressive earnings beat streak of 8 quarters with a significant average EPS surprise of 39.0%. Analyst consensus is strongly bullish, with an implied upside of 130% reflected in their targets, which suggests strong potential price appreciation. Current headwinds such as supply chain challenges and regulatory scrutiny on recent acquisitions do exist, but these are expected to be manageable given the positive developments such as significant contract acquisitions and strategic alignments within the defense sector.
Sources and limitations
Market and company inputs are primarily sourced through Yahoo Finance and public financial-data interfaces. This page reports a saved AI-generated scenario analysis as of the timestamp above; it is not live data, audited probability, financial advice, or a guaranteed return.
Frequently asked questions
When was this KTOS analysis generated?
October 17, 2026.
Is this a guaranteed KTOS prediction?
No. It is a model-generated scenario assessment with material uncertainty.
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The information on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.