Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) Stock Forecast 2026: P10, P50 & P90 — Probabli.AI
Timestamped FLY stock forecast with 1-year P10, P50, and P90 price estimates, scenario probabilities, definitions, sources, and limitations.
Direct answer: Firefly Aerospace demonstrates strong revenue growth figures and partnerships suggesting a bullish outlook. Analyst sentiment and recent contract wins intimate substantial upside potential but volatility and risks from profitability and supply chain issues remain notable factors to monitor. The saved 1-year distribution is P10 $18, P50 $32, and P90 $45.
Last analyzed · Model: gpt-4o
Firefly Aerospace Inc. Forecast data
| Estimate | 1-year price | Meaning |
|---|
| P10 | $18 | Pessimistic plausible scenario |
| P50 | $32 | Median scenario |
| P90 | $45 | Optimistic plausible scenario |
What the numbers mean
P10, P50, and P90 are model-generated scenario estimates: roughly a pessimistic plausible outcome, a median outcome, and an optimistic plausible outcome. They are not calibrated confidence intervals.
Supporting analysis
The market outlook for Firefly Aerospace in the next year emphasizes its strong revenue growth projections and recent positive headlines. The company's valuation is adjusted to account for potential risks, but it remains with a higher weighting on bullish probabilities due to analyst ratings and projected growth.
Sources and limitations
Market and company inputs are primarily sourced through Yahoo Finance and public financial-data interfaces. This page reports a saved AI-generated scenario analysis as of the timestamp above; it is not live data, audited probability, financial advice, or a guaranteed return.
Frequently asked questions
When was this FLY analysis generated?
March 13, 2026.
Is this a guaranteed FLY prediction?
No. It is a model-generated scenario assessment with material uncertainty.
View the full FLY stock analysis · FLY sentiment · Methodology · Accuracy & validation
The information on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.