Coursera, Inc. (COUR) Stock Forecast 2026: P10, P50 & P90 — Probabli.AI
Timestamped COUR stock forecast with 1-year P10, P50, and P90 price estimates, scenario probabilities, definitions, sources, and limitations.
Direct answer: Coursera, Inc. (COUR) presents an asymmetric risk/reward opportunity after tumbling into deeply oversold territory near its 52-week low of $4.53. Despite market punishment over conservative forward guidance, Coursera's underlying operational engine remains robust, boasting eight consecutive quarters of earnings beats and an average EPS surprise of +165.9%. With a modest market capitalization of approximately $1.2B, the stock trades at an attractive discount relative to its annualized revenue run rate. While consumer demand normalization poses near-term headwinds, Coursera's dominant enterprise positioning as the premier accredited provider of AI and technical workforce upskilling provides powerful medium-to-long-term compounding catalysts. Wall Street consensus remains firmly bullish with implied upside exceeding +65%, supporting a multi-year base-case recovery toward historical multiples. The saved 1-year distribution is P10 $3.7, P50 $6.5, and P90 $8.8.
Last analyzed · Model: gemini-3.8-flash
Coursera, Inc. Forecast data
| Estimate | 1-year price | Meaning |
|---|
| P10 | $3.7 | Pessimistic plausible scenario |
| P50 | $6.5 | Median scenario |
| P90 | $8.8 | Optimistic plausible scenario |
What the numbers mean
P10, P50, and P90 are model-generated scenario estimates: roughly a pessimistic plausible outcome, a median outcome, and an optimistic plausible outcome. They are not calibrated confidence intervals.
Supporting analysis
Coursera trades near 52-week lows following conservative guidance, creating a deep valuation dislocation. An 8-quarter EPS beat streak, +165.9% average earnings surprise, and strong analyst buy consensus with +67% upside suggest high probability of a mean-reverting re-rating as enterprise AI upskilling demand materializes.
Sources and limitations
Market and company inputs are primarily sourced through Yahoo Finance and public financial-data interfaces. This page reports a saved AI-generated scenario analysis as of the timestamp above; it is not live data, audited probability, financial advice, or a guaranteed return.
Frequently asked questions
When was this COUR analysis generated?
October 30, 2026.
Is this a guaranteed COUR prediction?
No. It is a model-generated scenario assessment with material uncertainty.
View the full COUR stock analysis · COUR sentiment · Methodology · Accuracy & validation
The information on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.