Avista Corporation (AVA) Stock Forecast 2026: P10, P50 & P90 — Probabli.AI
Timestamped AVA stock forecast with 1-year P10, P50, and P90 price estimates, scenario probabilities, definitions, sources, and limitations.
Direct answer: Avista Corporation (AVA) presents a mixed outlook, with several strengths in its strategic direction towards renewable energy and grid modernization. Despite recent positive earnings surprises, the lack of revenue growth and potential regulatory challenges create an overarching neutral sentiment in the short term. The company's strong dividend yield and current investments position it favorably in the longer term, particularly as global energy markets shift towards sustainable solutions. Long-term growth prospects look promising, contingent upon stable regulatory conditions and successful technological adaptation. Investors should monitor regulatory developments and cybersecurity risk management closely as they present significant impacts on Avista's strategic execution. The saved 1-year distribution is P10 $32, P50 $39, and P90 $43.
Last analyzed · Model: gpt-4o
Avista Corporation Forecast data
| Estimate | 1-year price | Meaning |
|---|
| P10 | $32 | Pessimistic plausible scenario |
| P50 | $39 | Median scenario |
| P90 | $43 | Optimistic plausible scenario |
What the numbers mean
P10, P50, and P90 are model-generated scenario estimates: roughly a pessimistic plausible outcome, a median outcome, and an optimistic plausible outcome. They are not calibrated confidence intervals.
Supporting analysis
The current analyst consensus is HOLD with a slight upside implied by the analyst mean target. Avista's positive earnings surprises and strategic investments in renewable energy provide bullish momentum. However, the lack of overall revenue growth and regulatory challenges temper enthusiasm.
Sources and limitations
Market and company inputs are primarily sourced through Yahoo Finance and public financial-data interfaces. This page reports a saved AI-generated scenario analysis as of the timestamp above; it is not live data, audited probability, financial advice, or a guaranteed return.
Frequently asked questions
When was this AVA analysis generated?
August 29, 2026.
Is this a guaranteed AVA prediction?
No. It is a model-generated scenario assessment with material uncertainty.
View the full AVA stock analysis · AVA sentiment · Methodology · Accuracy & validation
The information on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.