Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) Stock Analysis — Probabli.AI
AI-powered analysis for VLO (Valero Energy Corporation): probabilistic price forecasts, technical signals, peer comparison, institutional ownership, earnings history, and social sentiment. Latest AI outlook: Neutral.
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Last price: $402.14 · Market cap: $116.1B · AI outlook: Neutral
Valero Energy Corporation is positioned at a significant pivot point, with both risks and opportunities on the horizon. The company's recent financial performance and strategic initiatives towards renewable energy are substantial growth drivers. However, the current stock price suggests overvaluation given analyst targets, signaling potential downside in the short term. Over the mid to long term,…
Probabilistic 1-Year Outlook
- Bull 30% · Neutral 30% · Bear 40%
- 1-year price estimates — P10: $320 / P50: $360 / P90: $420
- Despite Valero's strong recent earnings performance and growth potential in renewable energy, the stock's current price significantly exceeds analyst price targets, suggesting overvaluation. This introduces substantial…
5-Year Outlook
- Bull 50% · Neutral 30% · Bear 20%
- 5-year price estimates — P10: $350 / P50: $520 / P90: $800
SWOT Highlights
- Strength: Strong earnings and revenue growth track record
- Strength: Strategic transition to renewable energy
- Risk: Potential overvaluation at current price
- Risk: Moderate dividend yield relative to peers
Major Catalysts
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Analyst Coverage & Dividends
20 Wall Street analysts rate VLO a BUY with a mean price target of $337. Valero Energy Corporation currently pays a dividend with a yield of approximately 1.19%.
Last analyzed · Model: gpt-4o. How this forecast works · Accuracy & validation.
VLO forecast details · VLO sentiment details
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